Showing posts with label 18 sept. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 18 sept. Show all posts

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Outlook for 17 Sept 2007


From this week onwards, I have added MACD & Stochastic into my analysis charts. Last week, I thought that the markets will end the bull run as we await for US Fed's meeting on 18 Sept (this week). But that did not happen, market made a small correction and the bull started running up again.
As for the coming week, low volume expected on Monday & Tuesday, as Asia markets awaiting overnight announcement of Fed on 18 Sept. Currently, I believe that 90% traders believed that Fed will cut rate at least 0.25%, some even projected a 0.5% cuts. As for me, I belong to the 10% group, and after the anouncement, we should see a bit of retracement started.

I don't think that US will cut rate on 18 Sept because of inflation pressure, Crude oil hit record high & both Bs ( Bush and Bernanke ) have warned that they will not help people due to stock markets losses. In addition, the market have pre-dissolved the news that Fed will be cutting 0.25%. Even if Fed were to cut more than 0.25%, it tells the market that there is a problem in US. Therefore, market are likely to be weak this week.
Oh, one more thing, buy volume are in downtrend & selling volume are in uptrend ( refer to charts. )